Year 2019, Volume 4, Issue 2

Year : 2019
Volume : 4
Issue : 2
   
Authors : Andrea MARKOS
Title : MODELLING ON-FARM DIVERSIFICATION THROUGH PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION AND GOAL PROGRAMMING. A CASE STUDY FROM BOLIVIA
Abstract : Modern Portfolio Theory provides a theoretical framework for agricultural risk reduction. Powerful yet accessible tools have been developed to optimize scarce capital/labor allocation to increase returns and reduce correlated risks via diversification. Such tools are used to assess rural livelihood diversification induced by an incentive-based program for watershed conservation piloted between 2003 and 2011 in a context of rural poverty in Bolivia. The tools assembled and tested in this study may provide low-cost diagnostics to improve implementers’ understanding of risks and returns in a specific rural context. Comparing alternative portfolio frontiers may represent a useful and transformative tool to understand socio-ecological systems such as watersheds, facilitating regime shifts that benefit ecosystem services and livelihoods.
For citation : Markos, A. (2019). Modelling on-farm diversification through portfolio optimization and goal programming: a case study from Bolivia. AGROFOR International Journal, Volume 4, Issue No. 2, pp. 109-119. DOI:10.7251/AGRENG1902108M
Keywords : Socio-Ecological Resilience, Modern Portfolio Theory, Goal Programming
   
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